Richmond
W-L: (13- 4) PR = 89.9729Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 9-10 211 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 90.6) 12-11 218 A William & Mary Colonial ( 7- 9, 79.9) 16-11 221 H Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-15 228 A Liberty Atlantic Su ( 8-11, 81.7) 16- 6 307 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 15- 6 314 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 14- 2 318 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 18- 8 321 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 16- 6 328 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 19- 6 330 H South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 15-14 404 A La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 20- 2 411 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 19- 6 414 H James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 9-14 418 H Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 16- 7 425 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 21- 6 501 A Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Penn State 9-10 -1 -2 1.01
211 A Virginia 12-11 1 -2 + 2.95
218 A William & Mary 16-11 5 9 - -3.72
221 H Duke 14-15 -1 0 -1.38
228 A Liberty 16- 6 10 7 + 3.07
307 A VCU 15- 6 9 5 + 3.60
314 H Rhode Island 14- 2 12 13 -0.89
318 A George Mason 18- 8 10 13 - -2.63
321 H St Josephs (PA) 16- 6 10 8 + 2.27
328 H St Bonaventure 19- 6 13 9 ++ 4.05
330 H South Florida 15-14 1 3 -1.64
404 A La Salle 20- 2 18 17 0.00
411 H George Washington 19- 6 13 11 1.56
414 H James Madison 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.48
418 H Davidson 16- 7 9 7 + 2.24
425 A Duquesne 21- 6 15 15 0.00
501 A Davidson 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 H James Madison 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.48 501 A Davidson 10-11 -1 4 -- -5.02 218 A William & Mary 16-11 5 9 - -3.72 318 A George Mason 18- 8 10 13 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H St Bonaventure 19- 6 13 9 ++ 4.05 211 A Virginia 12-11 1 -2 + 2.95 228 A Liberty 16- 6 10 7 + 3.07 307 A VCU 15- 6 9 5 + 3.60 321 H St Josephs (PA) 16- 6 10 8 + 2.27 418 H Davidson 16- 7 9 7 + 2.24 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 9-10 -6.55 33.61 -1.37 1.02 -4.04
3 A Virginia ( 8- 9, 90.6) 12-11 -9.34 30.82 1.37 1.02 65.61
3 A William & Mary ( 7- 9, 79.9) 16-11 -20.02 20.15 1.37 1.02 43.86
3 H Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 14-15 -8.94 31.23 -1.37 1.02 -5.25
3 A Liberty ( 8-11, 81.7) 16- 6 -18.22 21.95 1.37 1.02 47.51
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 15- 6 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.02 50.62
3 H Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 14- 2 -21.45 18.72 -1.37 1.02 35.37
3 A George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 18- 8 -23.93 16.24 1.37 1.02 35.89
3 H St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 16- 6 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 1.02 45.87
3 H St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 19- 6 -17.51 22.66 -1.37 1.02 43.40
3 H South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 15-14 -11.20 28.97 -1.37 1.02 56.26
3 A La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 20- 2 -28.27 11.90 1.37 1.02 27.04
3 H George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 19- 6 -19.99 20.17 -1.37 1.02 38.33
3 H James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 9-14 -9.04 31.13 -1.37 1.02 -5.30
3 H Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 16- 7 -15.32 24.85 -1.37 1.02 47.85
3 A Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 21- 6 -26.79 13.37 1.37 1.02 30.04
3 A Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 10-11 -15.32 24.85 1.37 1.02 -7.11
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545.95
|
winning pts = 567.6470 losing points = -21.6948
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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